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CommodityONE
Your Trusted Commodity Advisors, Supercharged by AI

Designed for Foodservice Purchasing and Price Forecasting

CommodityONE is built specifically to adapt to real market shifts for foodservice purchasing and price forecasting needs. Backed by a seasoned commodity team with over 40 years of experience, CommodityONE leverages proprietary deep learning technology to reveal cross-market dynamics that conventional models overlook.

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Food Commodity Market Trends Move Daily. Your Strategy Shouldn't Fall Behind.

The foodservice industry is subject to constant market fluctuations. Traditional forecasting methods, which rely on decade-old linear trend models work in stable markets, but are insufficient for the dynamic nature of today’s commodity markets. These models struggle to adapt to rapid price swings caused by supply chain disruptions, demand shocks, and geopolitical events. By the time these outdated forecasts register a significant market shift, your buying window may already be closed.

Price forecasts for

commodities
~ 100

Historical prices for

commodities
100 +

Proprietary Deep Learning Powers Every Food Commodity Price Forecast

CommodityONE runs on deep AI learning. Our proprietary self-learning AI trains across nearly 300 commodities simultaneously. This represents a genuine architectural shift from traditional, rules-based calculations.

What Makes It Different:

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Unlike static, traditional forecasting tools, CommodityONE's model is dynamic and continuously refines itself over time. With each new data point and evolving market pattern, the model learns and adapts, leading to sharper and more accurate forecasts.

Deep learning predictions are intelligently weighted against ArrowStream's established forecasting logic. This approach is validated by 12 months of back-tested performance, ensuring that the AI leads when it demonstrates superior predictive power, while the traditional model provides a stable anchor where its efficacy is proven.

CommodityONE's AI is continuously shaped and validated by ArrowStream's expert Commodity team. This synergy ensures you receive the speed and pattern recognition of AI, grounded by the profound market understanding of experienced professionals.

The AI trains on nearly 300 commodities simultaneously, effectively capturing intricate relationships. For instance, it understands how grain price movements can ripple into protein costs and how energy prices impact packaging expenses. Standard trend tools are incapable of identifying these crucial cross-market dynamics.

Improve Contract Negotiations

Enter supplier negotiations armed with forward-looking AI intelligence that your suppliers may not possess. CommodityONE equips procurement teams with forecasted pricing that illuminates likely market direction and timing, empowering you to secure contracts with enhanced visibility and fewer unforeseen challenges.

Small steakhouse chain saved $400k per year
$ 100 K/yr

Optimize Forward Buys

Our proprietary AI delivers price forecasts that form the backbone of CommodityONE’s daily, weekly, and quarterly commodity reports. These insights empower you to develop data-driven strategies that capitalize on earlier buying windows—helping you combat inflation, seize opportunities during deflation, and maximize profitability regardless of market conditions.

For even greater control, you can harness the expertise of ArrowStream’s commodity team to develop custom forecasts tailored to your specific business needs.

Elevate Financial Budgeting

Build budgets with greater precision using item-level cost modeling that reveals how individual commodity movements can impact your P&L before those changes materialize. CommodityONE gives finance and procurement teams forward-looking visibility into cost drivers across commodities, helping you anticipate margin pressure, evaluate scenarios, and make more confident planning decisions. Whether you’re planning for the next quarter or locking in annual targets, CommodityONE ensures your financial assumptions reflect where markets are heading, not where they’ve been.

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Drive Smarter Menu & Promo Planning

ArrowStream’s Market Basket transforms commodity intelligence into menu-level insight by combining real-time market data with your unique purchasing information to deliver item-specific forecasts. Rather than reacting to broad market shifts, you’ll see exactly how a change in a single commodity, like beef trim, will impact specific menu items before it ever hits your P&L. With this precision, you can confidently craft menus, control costs, and pinpoint the optimal windows to launch promotions for maximum profitability and impact.

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CommodityONE Plans

Essentials

Customer driven and market leading commodity reports with independent, concise and actionable commentary.

  • Daily report (T-F)
  • Weekly report
  • RCI Monthly report
  • Quarterly report
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Forecast

Includes everything in Essentials and
  • Customized monthly report
  • Supplier discovery
  • CommodityONE Market Watch
  • CommodityONE Market Basket*
* Purchasing spend within ArrowStream Central is required.
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One-on-one consulting available for more in-depth forecasting.

Words from our customers

News and Press Releases

The latest news and press releases from the ArrowStream team

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Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are CommodityONE price forecasts?

CommodityONE’s deep learning AI predictions are intelligently weighted against ArrowStream’s established forecasting logic, using 12 months of back-tested performance. The AI leads where it’s strongest, and the traditional model anchors where it’s proven. The model continuously refines itself over time for sharper accuracy. Our forecast accuracy varies by category but on average we see an upwards of 90% accuracy.

Which food commodities does CommodityONE cover?

CommodityONE trains across nearly 300 commodities simultaneously, capturing cross-category dynamics such as how grain prices ripple into proteins and how energy costs affect packaging.

How can CommodityONE help reduce food costs?

CommodityONE helps reduce food costs by enabling earlier buying windows, providing item-level cost modeling for precise impact assessment, and delivering forecasts that adapt faster to market realities, thus minimizing unexpected cost impacts and protecting margins.

Can CommodityONE improve supplier contract negotiations?

Yes. CommodityONE equips procurement teams with forward-looking AI intelligence, enabling them to negotiate from a more informed position and potentially secure better contract terms with suppliers

How do food commodity market trends affect restaurants?

In today’s foodservice environment, supply disruptions, demand shocks, and geopolitical volatility can trigger rapid price swings. Traditional, linear trend models are often too slow and rigid to keep up, meaning businesses may miss critical buying windows. CommodityONE helps restaurants stay ahead of these trends.

What factors influence food commodity price fluctuations?

Factors influencing fluctuations include supply disruptions, demand shocks, geopolitical volatility, and interconnected dynamics across different commodity markets (e.g., how grain prices affect proteins, or how energy costs impact packaging). CommodityONE’s AI is designed to capture these cross-commodity relationships that standard trend tools often miss.

Is CommodityONE useful for menu planning and promotions?

Yes. CommodityONE provides menu and pricing confidence with a clear 24-month price outlook, enabling proactive planning for menus and promotions rather than reactive adjustments. Its item-level cost modeling also helps in understanding the precise impact of commodity shifts on specific menu items.

What is the difference between Essentials and Forecast plans?

CommodityONE’s Essential Package includes a daily, weekly, RCI monthly, and quarterly report. The Forecast Package, which is most popular, includes everything in Essentials and a customized monthly forecast report, access to the Market Watch software for on demand forecasting of foodservice items, access to Market Basket software that forecasts items you actually purchase, and access to a database of over 11,000 suppliers.

Does CommodityONE integrate with other supply chain systems?

CommodityONE Essentials provides PDF and excel reports. It is not designed to integrate with other systems. However, CommodityONE Forecast is integrated seamlessly with ArrowStream Central, the industry’s leading restaurant supply chain software.